The population of Tuvalu is expected to decrease by 130 in 2026 and reach 9,257 in 2027. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 225 people yearly. On average there are 196 births and 88 deaths in Tuvalu per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 1.15 percent per year. The population density of Tuvalu has changed from 245.5 in 1980 to 371.0 in 2024.
| Current population | 9,274 people at present (Tuesday 3rd of November 2026) | |
| Median Age | 29.7 years |
| Life expectancy | 67.6 years | |
| Population density | 312.1 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9,362 | -130 (-1.4%) | -225 | 29.7 | 3.11 | 312 | 6,196 (66.2%) |
| 2025 | 9,492 | -154 (-1.6%) | -255 | 29.6 | 3.14 | 316 | 6,212 (65.4%) |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -280 | 29.4 | 3.17 | 371 | 6,243 (64.7%) |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -323 | 29.3 | 3.21 | 378 | 6,283 (64.0%) |
| 2022 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -320 | 29.2 | 3.24 | 384 | 6,326 (63.3%) |
| 2021 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -366 | 29.1 | 3.28 | 340 | 6,382 (62.6%) |
| 2020 | 10,399 | -182 (-1.8%) | -355 | 29.1 | 3.31 | 347 | 6,439 (61.9%) |
| 2019 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -343 | 29.0 | 3.33 | 353 | 6,480 (61.2%) |
| 2018 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -329 | 29.0 | 3.33 | 358 | 6,511 (60.6%) |
| 2017 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -246 | 28.9 | 3.30 | 362 | 6,516 (60.0%) |
| 2016 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -200 | 28.8 | 3.30 | 364 | 6,501 (59.5%) |
| 2015 | 10,963 | -21 (-0.2%) | -179 | 28.7 | 3.31 | 365 | 6,459 (58.9%) |
| 2010 | 10,614 | 153 (1.4%) | 22 | 28.4 | 3.44 | 354 | 5,843 (55.1%) |
| 2005 | 9,940 | 124 (1.3%) | -8 | 28.0 | 3.55 | 331 | 4,912 (49.4%) |
| 2000 | 9,544 | 48 (0.5%) | -118 | 27.7 | 3.84 | 318 | 4,344 (45.5%) |
| 1995 | 9,280 | 73 (0.8%) | -125 | 27.5 | 3.96 | 309 | 3,996 (43.1%) |
| 1990 | 8,798 | 136 (1.6%) | -69 | 27.3 | 3.75 | 293 | 3,490 (39.7%) |
| 1985 | 8,046 | 144 (1.8%) | -36 | 27.2 | 3.97 | 268 | 2,754 (34.2%) |
| 1980 | 7,366 | 182 (2.5%) | 0 | 25.9 | 3.73 | 246 | 2,222 (30.2%) |
| 1975 | 6,117 | 295 (4.8%) | 186 | 25.3 | 3.58 | 204 | 1,060 (17.3%) |
| 1970 | 5,663 | 32 (0.6%) | -71 | 24.1 | 4.08 | 189 | 819 (14.5%) |
| 1965 | 5,715 | -37 (-0.7%) | -128 | 25.2 | 4.73 | 191 | 751 (13.1%) |
| 1960 | 5,598 | 50 (0.9%) | -79 | 25.4 | 5.15 | 187 | 692 (12.4%) |
In 2025 the population of Tuvalu was 9,492 and the average age increased from 25.4 in 1960 to 29.6. Urban population has increased from 4,344 (45.5%) in 2000 to 6,196 (66.2%) in the current year. The population density of Tuvalu has changed from 245.5 in 1980 to 371.0 in 2024.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -355 | 29.1 | 3.31 | 347 | 6,439 (61.9%) |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -255 | 29.6 | 3.14 | 316 | 6,212 (65.4%) |
| 2030 | 9,047 | -56 (-0.6%) | -128 | 30.3 | 2.97 | 302 | 6,261 (69.2%) |
| 2035 | 8,980 | 7 (0.1%) | -75 | 31.0 | 2.82 | 299 | 6,574 (73.2%) |
| 2040 | 9,140 | 46 (0.5%) | -45 | 31.2 | 2.69 | 305 | 7,083 (77.5%) |
| 2045 | 9,438 | 61 (0.7%) | -32 | 31.3 | 2.58 | 315 | 7,748 (82.1%) |
| 2050 | 9,781 | 67 (0.7%) | -29 | 31.4 | 2.48 | 326 | 8,512 (87.0%) |
The life expectancy at birth should reach 70.7 (67.4 years for male and 74.6 years for females). Population density will go up to 326.0 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is minus 1.37% (154 residents, including 89 deaths). The demographics of Tuvalu constitutes of 4,566 women and 4,796 men, which means there are 1,050 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 42.3% of population (3,956) is 19 or younger, 50.2% of population (4,703) is between age 20 and 64 and 7.5% of population (700) is over 65.