The population of French Polynesia is expected to grow by 3,000 in 2018 and reach 289,000 in 2019. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 100 people yearly. On average there are 4,281 births and 1,608 deaths in French Polynesia per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 0.94 percent per year. The population density of French Polynesia has changed from 41.5 in 1980 to 76.6 in 2016.
| Current population | 288,868 people at present (Saturday 15th of December 2018) | |
| Median Age | 33.6 years |
| Life expectancy | 77.2 years | |
| Population density | 78.1 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 286,000 | 3,000 (1.1%) | -100 | 33.6 | 1.98 | 78 | 159,000 (55.7%) |
| 2017 | 283,000 | 2,792 (1.0%) | -100 | 33.4 | 2.00 | 77 | 158,000 (55.7%) |
| 2016 | 280,208 | 2,518 (0.9%) | -100 | 33.0 | 2.01 | 77 | 156,362 (55.8%) |
| 2015 | 277,690 | 2,206 (0.8%) | -100 | 32.7 | 2.03 | 76 | 155,173 (55.9%) |
| 2010 | 267,820 | 2,239 (0.8%) | -1,000 | 31.4 | 2.11 | 73 | 151,262 (56.5%) |
| 2005 | 254,886 | 3,111 (1.2%) | -693 | 29.5 | 2.25 | 70 | 143,822 (56.4%) |
| 2000 | 237,258 | 4,306 (1.8%) | 15 | 27.9 | 2.46 | 65 | 133,033 (56.1%) |
| 1995 | 215,196 | 3,617 (1.7%) | 697 | 26.2 | 2.84 | 59 | 121,883 (56.6%) |
| 1990 | 198,375 | 4,123 (2.1%) | -865 | 25.2 | 3.40 | 54 | 114,780 (57.9%) |
| 1985 | 175,204 | 4,808 (2.7%) | 48 | 24.6 | 3.74 | 48 | 102,738 (58.6%) |
| 1980 | 151,708 | 4,412 (2.9%) | 730 | 23.7 | 3.99 | 41 | 89,512 (59.0%) |
| 1975 | 130,619 | 4,133 (3.2%) | 769 | 22.9 | 4.55 | 36 | 76,088 (58.3%) |
| 1970 | 110,495 | 3,638 (3.3%) | 878 | 22.4 | 5.06 | 30 | 60,951 (55.2%) |
| 1965 | 93,438 | 3,306 (3.5%) | 669 | 22.6 | 5.31 | 26 | 45,017 (48.2%) |
| 1960 | 78,076 | 2,627 (3.3%) | 638 | 22.9 | 5.66 | 21 | 33,011 (42.3%) |
In 2017 the population of French Polynesia was 283,000 and the average age increased from 22.9 in 1960 to 33.4. Urban population has increased from 133,033 (56.1%) in 2000 to 159,000 (55.7%) in the current year. The population density of French Polynesia has changed from 41.5 in 1980 to 76.6 in 2016.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 291,000 | 2,000 (0.7%) | -1,000 | 34.3 | 1.95 | 79 | 162,000 (55.7%) |
| 2025 | 297,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 35.9 | 1.89 | 81 | 166,000 (55.9%) |
| 2030 | 307,000 | 2,000 (0.7%) | -100 | 37.3 | 1.84 | 84 | 173,000 (56.5%) |
| 2035 | 314,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 38.8 | 1.80 | 86 | 181,000 (57.6%) |
| 2040 | 320,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 40.1 | 1.77 | 87 | 189,000 (59.1%) |
| 2045 | 324,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 41.2 | 1.75 | 88 | 196,000 (60.6%) |
| 2050 | 326,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 42.4 | 1.74 | 89 | 202,000 (62.1%) |
Total French Polynesia population should reach 291,000 by 2020 and should increase to 326,000 people by year 2050. The life expectancy at birth should reach 82.8 (81.3 years for male and 84.3 years for females). Population density will go up to 89.0 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is 1.06% (2,792 residents, including 1,527 deaths). The demographics of French Polynesia constitutes of 140,000 women and 145,000 men, which means there are 1,036 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 31.2% of population (89,089) is 19 or younger, 60.9% of population (174,174) is between age 20 and 64 and 8.1% of population (23,195) is over 65.