The population of French Polynesia is expected to grow by 3,000 in 2019 and reach 291,000 in 2020. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 100 people yearly. On average there are 4,267 births and 1,649 deaths in French Polynesia per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 0.91 percent per year. The population density of French Polynesia has changed from 41.5 in 1980 to 77.3 in 2017.
| Current population | 289,794 people at present (Saturday 25th of May 2019) | |
| Median Age | 33.9 years |
| Life expectancy | 77.4 years | |
| Population density | 78.8 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 289,000 | 3,000 (1.0%) | -100 | 33.9 | 1.97 | 79 | 161,000 (55.7%) |
| 2018 | 286,000 | 3,000 (1.1%) | -100 | 33.6 | 1.98 | 78 | 159,000 (55.7%) |
| 2017 | 283,000 | 2,792 (1.0%) | -100 | 33.4 | 2.00 | 77 | 158,000 (55.7%) |
| 2016 | 280,208 | 2,518 (0.9%) | -100 | 33.0 | 2.01 | 77 | 156,362 (55.8%) |
| 2015 | 277,690 | 2,206 (0.8%) | -100 | 32.7 | 2.03 | 76 | 155,173 (55.9%) |
| 2010 | 267,820 | 2,239 (0.8%) | -1,000 | 31.4 | 2.11 | 73 | 151,262 (56.5%) |
| 2005 | 254,886 | 3,111 (1.2%) | -693 | 29.5 | 2.25 | 70 | 143,822 (56.4%) |
| 2000 | 237,258 | 4,306 (1.8%) | 15 | 27.9 | 2.46 | 65 | 133,033 (56.1%) |
| 1995 | 215,196 | 3,617 (1.7%) | 697 | 26.2 | 2.84 | 59 | 121,883 (56.6%) |
| 1990 | 198,375 | 4,123 (2.1%) | -865 | 25.2 | 3.40 | 54 | 114,780 (57.9%) |
| 1985 | 175,204 | 4,808 (2.7%) | 48 | 24.6 | 3.74 | 48 | 102,738 (58.6%) |
| 1980 | 151,708 | 4,412 (2.9%) | 730 | 23.7 | 3.99 | 41 | 89,512 (59.0%) |
| 1975 | 130,619 | 4,133 (3.2%) | 769 | 22.9 | 4.55 | 36 | 76,088 (58.3%) |
| 1970 | 110,495 | 3,638 (3.3%) | 878 | 22.4 | 5.06 | 30 | 60,951 (55.2%) |
| 1965 | 93,438 | 3,306 (3.5%) | 669 | 22.6 | 5.31 | 26 | 45,017 (48.2%) |
| 1960 | 78,076 | 2,627 (3.3%) | 638 | 22.9 | 5.66 | 21 | 33,011 (42.3%) |
In 2018 the population of French Polynesia was 286,000 and the average age increased from 22.9 in 1960 to 33.6. Urban population has increased from 133,033 (56.1%) in 2000 to 161,000 (55.7%) in the current year. The population density of French Polynesia has changed from 41.5 in 1980 to 77.3 in 2017.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 291,000 | 2,000 (0.7%) | -1,000 | 34.3 | 1.95 | 79 | 162,000 (55.7%) |
| 2025 | 297,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 35.9 | 1.89 | 81 | 166,000 (55.9%) |
| 2030 | 307,000 | 2,000 (0.7%) | -100 | 37.3 | 1.84 | 84 | 173,000 (56.5%) |
| 2035 | 314,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 38.8 | 1.80 | 86 | 181,000 (57.6%) |
| 2040 | 320,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 40.1 | 1.77 | 87 | 189,000 (59.1%) |
| 2045 | 324,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 41.2 | 1.75 | 88 | 196,000 (60.6%) |
| 2050 | 326,000 | 1,000 (0.3%) | -100 | 42.4 | 1.74 | 89 | 202,000 (62.1%) |
Total French Polynesia population should reach 291,000 by 2020 and should increase to 326,000 people by year 2050. The life expectancy at birth should reach 82.8 (81.3 years for male and 84.3 years for females). Population density will go up to 89.0 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is 1.05% (3,000 residents, including 1,567 deaths). The demographics of French Polynesia constitutes of 142,000 women and 147,000 men, which means there are 1,035 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 30.8% of population (89,070) is 19 or younger, 60.8% of population (175,568) is between age 20 and 64 and 8.4% of population (24,363) is over 65.
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