The population of Vanuatu is expected to grow by 6,000 in 2019 and reach 294,000 in 2020. Migration (including immigration and emigration) increases population by 121 people yearly. On average there are 7,160 births and 1,378 deaths in Vanuatu per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 2.01 percent per year. The population density of Vanuatu has changed from 9.5 in 1980 to 22.7 in 2017.
| Current population | 291,238 people at present (Tuesday 16th of July 2019) | |
| Median Age | 26.5 years |
| Life expectancy | 72.8 years | |
| Population density | 23.6 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 288,000 | 6,000 (2.1%) | 121 | 26.5 | 3.17 | 24 | 79,000 (27.4%) |
| 2018 | 282,000 | 6,000 (2.1%) | 121 | 26.3 | 3.21 | 23 | 76,000 (27.1%) |
| 2017 | 276,000 | 5,598 (2.0%) | 121 | 26.1 | 3.24 | 23 | 74,000 (26.8%) |
| 2016 | 270,402 | 5,799 (2.1%) | 121 | 26.0 | 3.28 | 22 | 71,497 (26.4%) |
| 2015 | 264,603 | 5,753 (2.2%) | 121 | 25.7 | 3.31 | 22 | 69,135 (26.1%) |
| 2010 | 236,295 | 5,510 (2.3%) | 121 | 24.9 | 3.50 | 19 | 58,103 (24.6%) |
| 2005 | 209,370 | 5,227 (2.5%) | 227 | 24.0 | 3.85 | 17 | 48,362 (23.1%) |
| 2000 | 185,063 | 3,718 (2.0%) | -100 | 23.3 | 4.37 | 15 | 40,109 (21.7%) |
| 1995 | 168,235 | 4,027 (2.4%) | -1,417 | 23.1 | 4.73 | 14 | 33,923 (20.2%) |
| 1990 | 146,634 | 3,785 (2.6%) | -59 | 22.8 | 4.93 | 12 | 27,443 (18.7%) |
| 1985 | 130,027 | 2,935 (2.3%) | -560 | 22.4 | 5.21 | 11 | 21,743 (16.7%) |
| 1980 | 115,632 | 3,052 (2.6%) | -662 | 22.0 | 5.58 | 9 | 17,044 (14.7%) |
| 1975 | 99,872 | 3,076 (3.1%) | 49 | 22.0 | 5.93 | 8 | 13,378 (13.4%) |
| 1970 | 85,389 | 2,449 (2.9%) | 288 | 22.1 | 6.27 | 7 | 10,524 (12.3%) |
| 1965 | 74,289 | 2,158 (2.9%) | -101 | 21.3 | 6.73 | 6 | 8,416 (11.3%) |
| 1960 | 63,699 | 2,014 (3.1%) | 13 | 21.3 | 7.20 | 5 | 6,627 (10.4%) |
In 2018 the population of Vanuatu was 282,000 and the average age increased from 21.3 in 1960 to 26.3. Urban population has increased from 40,109 (21.7%) in 2000 to 79,000 (27.4%) in the current year. The population density of Vanuatu has changed from 9.5 in 1980 to 22.7 in 2017.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 294,000 | 6,000 (2.0%) | 121 | 26.7 | 3.14 | 24 | 81,000 (27.7%) |
| 2025 | 324,000 | 6,000 (1.9%) | 121 | 27.7 | 2.98 | 27 | 95,000 (29.3%) |
| 2030 | 354,000 | 6,000 (1.7%) | 121 | 28.6 | 2.84 | 29 | 109,000 (30.9%) |
| 2035 | 385,000 | 7,000 (1.8%) | 121 | 29.6 | 2.72 | 32 | 125,000 (32.5%) |
| 2040 | 415,000 | 6,000 (1.5%) | 121 | 30.8 | 2.61 | 34 | 142,000 (34.2%) |
| 2045 | 445,000 | 6,000 (1.4%) | 121 | 31.6 | 2.51 | 37 | 160,000 (35.8%) |
| 2050 | 475,000 | 6,000 (1.3%) | 121 | 32.7 | 2.42 | 39 | 178,000 (37.5%) |
Total Vanuatu population should reach 294,000 by 2020 and should increase to 475,000 people by year 2050. The life expectancy at birth should reach 78.0 (75.8 years for male and 80.3 years for females). Population density will go up to 38.9 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is 2.13% (6,000 residents, including 1,320 deaths). The demographics of Vanuatu constitutes of 142,000 women and 146,000 men, which means there are 1,028 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 44.8% of population (128,995) is 19 or younger, 51.0% of population (146,909) is between age 20 and 64 and 4.6% of population (13,306) is over 65.
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