The population of Tajikistan is expected to grow by 185,000 in 2019 and reach 9,475,000 in 2020. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 20,000 people yearly. On average there are 250,893 births and 47,215 deaths in Tajikistan per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 2.19 percent per year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 63.7 in 2017.
| Current population | 9,381,244 people at present (Thursday 27th of June 2019) | |
| Median Age | 26.2 years |
| Life expectancy | 71.6 years | |
| Population density | 66.4 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 9,292,000 | 185,000 (2.0%) | -20,000 | 26.2 | 3.23 | 66 | 2,539,000 (27.3%) |
| 2018 | 9,107,000 | 186,000 (2.0%) | -20,000 | 26.0 | 3.27 | 65 | 2,474,000 (27.2%) |
| 2017 | 8,921,000 | 186,049 (2.1%) | -20,000 | 25.8 | 3.32 | 64 | 2,410,000 (27.0%) |
| 2016 | 8,734,951 | 186,300 (2.1%) | -20,000 | 25.7 | 3.36 | 63 | 2,348,916 (26.9%) |
| 2015 | 8,548,651 | 185,906 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 25.5 | 3.40 | 62 | 2,289,500 (26.8%) |
| 2010 | 7,641,630 | 168,811 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 24.9 | 3.51 | 55 | 2,026,255 (26.5%) |
| 2005 | 6,854,176 | 141,335 (2.1%) | -14,649 | 24.1 | 3.50 | 49 | 1,811,764 (26.4%) |
| 2000 | 6,216,205 | 101,319 (1.6%) | -16,498 | 22.9 | 3.91 | 44 | 1,646,424 (26.5%) |
| 1995 | 5,764,712 | 84,880 (1.5%) | -58,959 | 22.7 | 4.59 | 41 | 1,664,676 (28.9%) |
| 1990 | 5,283,728 | 133,925 (2.5%) | -57,853 | 22.9 | 5.23 | 38 | 1,672,723 (31.7%) |
| 1985 | 4,537,789 | 140,264 (3.1%) | -13,607 | 23.3 | 5.57 | 32 | 1,508,134 (33.2%) |
| 1980 | 3,905,413 | 110,993 (2.8%) | -7,640 | 23.6 | 5.69 | 28 | 1,339,127 (34.3%) |
| 1975 | 3,390,935 | 94,840 (2.8%) | -3,405 | 23.5 | 6.38 | 24 | 1,205,003 (35.5%) |
| 1970 | 2,930,079 | 89,851 (3.1%) | -2,441 | 23.6 | 7.00 | 21 | 1,080,496 (36.9%) |
| 1965 | 2,487,953 | 85,498 (3.4%) | 5,177 | 24.2 | 6.96 | 18 | 874,565 (35.2%) |
| 1960 | 2,087,038 | 72,085 (3.3%) | 4,165 | 25.2 | 6.55 | 15 | 692,229 (33.2%) |
In 2018 the population of Tajikistan was 9,107,000 and the average age increased from 25.2 in 1960 to 26.0. Urban population has increased from 1,646,424 (26.5%) in 2000 to 2,539,000 (27.3%) in the current year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 63.7 in 2017.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 9,475,000 | 183,000 (1.9%) | -20,000 | 26.3 | 3.18 | 68 | 2,607,000 (27.5%) |
| 2025 | 10,360,000 | 172,000 (1.7%) | -20,000 | 27.3 | 3.01 | 74 | 2,976,000 (28.7%) |
| 2030 | 11,194,000 | 165,000 (1.5%) | -20,000 | 28.5 | 2.85 | 80 | 3,408,000 (30.4%) |
| 2035 | 12,023,000 | 167,000 (1.4%) | -20,000 | 29.6 | 2.72 | 86 | 3,931,000 (32.7%) |
| 2040 | 12,876,000 | 172,000 (1.3%) | -20,000 | 30.6 | 2.60 | 92 | 4,552,000 (35.4%) |
| 2045 | 13,728,000 | 167,000 (1.2%) | -20,000 | 31.5 | 2.50 | 98 | 5,234,000 (38.1%) |
| 2050 | 14,521,000 | 152,000 (1.1%) | -20,000 | 32.5 | 2.40 | 104 | 5,951,000 (41.0%) |
Total Tajikistan population should reach 9,475,000 by 2020 and should increase to 14,521,000 people by year 2050. The life expectancy at birth should reach 76.4 (73.4 years for male and 79.5 years for females). Population density will go up to 103.8 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is 2.03% (186,000 residents, including 45,833 deaths). The demographics of Tajikistan constitutes of 4,629,000 women and 4,663,000 men, which means there are 1,007 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 44.3% of population (4,111,710) is 19 or younger, 52.0% of population (4,833,698) is between age 20 and 64 and 3.7% of population (342,875) is over 65.
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