The population of Tajikistan is expected to grow by 186,000 in 2018 and reach 9,292,000 in 2019. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 20,000 people yearly. On average there are 251,217 births and 46,531 deaths in Tajikistan per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 2.25 percent per year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 62.9 in 2016.
| Current population | 9,284,904 people at present (Monday 17th of December 2018) | |
| Median Age | 26.0 years |
| Life expectancy | 71.5 years | |
| Population density | 65.1 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 9,107,000 | 186,000 (2.0%) | -20,000 | 26.0 | 3.27 | 65 | 2,474,000 (27.2%) |
| 2017 | 8,921,000 | 186,049 (2.1%) | -20,000 | 25.8 | 3.32 | 64 | 2,410,000 (27.0%) |
| 2016 | 8,734,951 | 186,300 (2.1%) | -20,000 | 25.7 | 3.36 | 63 | 2,348,916 (26.9%) |
| 2015 | 8,548,651 | 185,906 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 25.5 | 3.40 | 62 | 2,289,500 (26.8%) |
| 2010 | 7,641,630 | 168,811 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 24.9 | 3.51 | 55 | 2,026,255 (26.5%) |
| 2005 | 6,854,176 | 141,335 (2.1%) | -14,649 | 24.1 | 3.50 | 49 | 1,811,764 (26.4%) |
| 2000 | 6,216,205 | 101,319 (1.6%) | -16,498 | 22.9 | 3.91 | 44 | 1,646,424 (26.5%) |
| 1995 | 5,764,712 | 84,880 (1.5%) | -58,959 | 22.7 | 4.59 | 41 | 1,664,676 (28.9%) |
| 1990 | 5,283,728 | 133,925 (2.5%) | -57,853 | 22.9 | 5.23 | 38 | 1,672,723 (31.7%) |
| 1985 | 4,537,789 | 140,264 (3.1%) | -13,607 | 23.3 | 5.57 | 32 | 1,508,134 (33.2%) |
| 1980 | 3,905,413 | 110,993 (2.8%) | -7,640 | 23.6 | 5.69 | 28 | 1,339,127 (34.3%) |
| 1975 | 3,390,935 | 94,840 (2.8%) | -3,405 | 23.5 | 6.38 | 24 | 1,205,003 (35.5%) |
| 1970 | 2,930,079 | 89,851 (3.1%) | -2,441 | 23.6 | 7.00 | 21 | 1,080,496 (36.9%) |
| 1965 | 2,487,953 | 85,498 (3.4%) | 5,177 | 24.2 | 6.96 | 18 | 874,565 (35.2%) |
| 1960 | 2,087,038 | 72,085 (3.3%) | 4,165 | 25.2 | 6.55 | 15 | 692,229 (33.2%) |
In 2017 the population of Tajikistan was 8,921,000 and the average age increased from 25.2 in 1960 to 25.8. Urban population has increased from 1,646,424 (26.5%) in 2000 to 2,474,000 (27.2%) in the current year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 62.9 in 2016.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 9,475,000 | 183,000 (1.9%) | -20,000 | 26.3 | 3.18 | 68 | 2,607,000 (27.5%) |
| 2025 | 10,360,000 | 172,000 (1.7%) | -20,000 | 27.3 | 3.01 | 74 | 2,976,000 (28.7%) |
| 2030 | 11,194,000 | 165,000 (1.5%) | -20,000 | 28.5 | 2.85 | 80 | 3,408,000 (30.4%) |
| 2035 | 12,023,000 | 167,000 (1.4%) | -20,000 | 29.6 | 2.72 | 86 | 3,931,000 (32.7%) |
| 2040 | 12,876,000 | 172,000 (1.3%) | -20,000 | 30.6 | 2.60 | 92 | 4,552,000 (35.4%) |
| 2045 | 13,728,000 | 167,000 (1.2%) | -20,000 | 31.5 | 2.50 | 98 | 5,234,000 (38.1%) |
| 2050 | 14,521,000 | 152,000 (1.1%) | -20,000 | 32.5 | 2.40 | 104 | 5,951,000 (41.0%) |
Total Tajikistan population should reach 9,475,000 by 2020 and should increase to 14,521,000 people by year 2050. The life expectancy at birth should reach 76.4 (73.4 years for male and 79.5 years for females). Population density will go up to 103.8 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is 2.08% (186,049 residents, including 45,123 deaths). The demographics of Tajikistan constitutes of 4,535,000 women and 4,572,000 men, which means there are 1,008 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 44.5% of population (4,049,883) is 19 or younger, 52.0% of population (4,733,819) is between age 20 and 64 and 3.6% of population (324,209) is over 65.