The population of Tajikistan is expected to grow by 172,000 in 2025 and reach 10,530,000 in 2026. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 20,000 people yearly. On average there are 243,491 births and 52,059 deaths in Tajikistan per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 1.85 percent per year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 71.5 in 2023.
| Current population | 10,445,233 people at present (Wednesday 2nd of July 2025) | |
| Median Age | 27.3 years |
| Life expectancy | 72.6 years | |
| Population density | 74.0 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10,360,000 | 172,000 (1.7%) | -20,000 | 27.3 | 3.01 | 74 | 2,976,000 (28.7%) |
| 2024 | 10,188,000 | 175,000 (1.7%) | -20,000 | 27.1 | 73 | 2,898,000 (28.4%) | |
| 2023 | 10,013,000 | 177,000 (1.8%) | -20,000 | 26.9 | 72 | 2,822,000 (28.2%) | |
| 2022 | 9,836,000 | 179,000 (1.8%) | -20,000 | 26.7 | 70 | 2,748,000 (27.9%) | |
| 2021 | 9,657,000 | 182,000 (1.9%) | -20,000 | 26.5 | 69 | 2,676,000 (27.7%) | |
| 2020 | 9,475,000 | 183,000 (1.9%) | -20,000 | 26.3 | 3.18 | 68 | 2,607,000 (27.5%) |
| 2019 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 26.2 | 3.23 | 66 | 2,539,000 (27.3%) |
| 2018 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 26.0 | 3.27 | 65 | 2,474,000 (27.2%) |
| 2017 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 25.8 | 3.32 | 64 | 2,410,000 (27.0%) |
| 2016 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 25.7 | 3.36 | 63 | 2,348,916 (26.9%) |
| 2015 | 8,548,651 | 185,906 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 25.5 | 3.40 | 62 | 2,289,500 (26.8%) |
| 2010 | 7,641,630 | 168,811 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 24.9 | 3.51 | 55 | 2,026,255 (26.5%) |
| 2005 | 6,854,176 | 141,335 (2.1%) | -14,649 | 24.1 | 3.50 | 49 | 1,811,764 (26.4%) |
| 2000 | 6,216,205 | 101,319 (1.6%) | -16,498 | 22.9 | 3.91 | 44 | 1,646,424 (26.5%) |
| 1995 | 5,764,712 | 84,880 (1.5%) | -58,959 | 22.7 | 4.59 | 41 | 1,664,676 (28.9%) |
| 1990 | 5,283,728 | 133,925 (2.5%) | -57,853 | 22.9 | 5.23 | 38 | 1,672,723 (31.7%) |
| 1985 | 4,537,789 | 140,264 (3.1%) | -13,607 | 23.3 | 5.57 | 32 | 1,508,134 (33.2%) |
| 1980 | 3,905,413 | 110,993 (2.8%) | -7,640 | 23.6 | 5.69 | 28 | 1,339,127 (34.3%) |
| 1975 | 3,390,935 | 94,840 (2.8%) | -3,405 | 23.5 | 6.38 | 24 | 1,205,003 (35.5%) |
| 1970 | 2,930,079 | 89,851 (3.1%) | -2,441 | 23.6 | 7.00 | 21 | 1,080,496 (36.9%) |
| 1965 | 2,487,953 | 85,498 (3.4%) | 5,177 | 24.2 | 6.96 | 18 | 874,565 (35.2%) |
| 1960 | 2,087,038 | 72,085 (3.3%) | 4,165 | 25.2 | 6.55 | 15 | 692,229 (33.2%) |
In 2024 the population of Tajikistan was 10,188,000 and the average age increased from 25.2 in 1960 to 27.1. Urban population has increased from 1,646,424 (26.5%) in 2000 to 2,976,000 (28.7%) in the current year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 71.5 in 2023.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 26.3 | 3.18 | 68 | 2,607,000 (27.5%) |
| 2025 | 10,360,000 | 172,000 (1.7%) | -20,000 | 27.3 | 3.01 | 74 | 2,976,000 (28.7%) |
| 2030 | 11,194,000 | 165,000 (1.5%) | -20,000 | 28.5 | 2.85 | 80 | 3,408,000 (30.4%) |
| 2035 | 12,023,000 | 167,000 (1.4%) | -20,000 | 29.6 | 2.72 | 86 | 3,931,000 (32.7%) |
| 2040 | 12,876,000 | 172,000 (1.3%) | -20,000 | 30.6 | 2.60 | 92 | 4,552,000 (35.4%) |
| 2045 | 13,728,000 | 167,000 (1.2%) | -20,000 | 31.5 | 2.50 | 98 | 5,234,000 (38.1%) |
| 2050 | 14,521,000 | 152,000 (1.1%) | -20,000 | 32.5 | 2.40 | 104 | 5,951,000 (41.0%) |
The life expectancy at birth should reach 76.4 (73.4 years for male and 79.5 years for females). Population density will go up to 103.8 people per square kilometer.
The demographics of Tajikistan constitutes of 5,172,000 women and 5,188,000 men, which means there are 1,003 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 43.6% of population (4,515,924) is 19 or younger, 51.7% of population (5,357,156) is between age 20 and 64 and 4.7% of population (487,956) is over 65.