The population of Tajikistan is expected to grow by 183,000 in 2020 and reach 9,657,000 in 2021. Migration (including immigration and emigration) decreases population by 20,000 people yearly. On average there are 250,301 births and 47,877 deaths in Tajikistan per year. Rate of natural increase is approximately 2.14 percent per year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 65.1 in 2018.
| Current population | 9,586,194 people at present (Monday 10th of August 2020) | |
| Median Age | 26.3 years |
| Life expectancy | 71.8 years | |
| Population density | 67.7 per km2 |
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 9,475,000 | 183,000 (1.9%) | -20,000 | 26.3 | 3.18 | 68 | 2,607,000 (27.5%) |
| 2019 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 26.2 | 3.23 | 66 | 2,539,000 (27.3%) |
| 2018 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 26.0 | 3.27 | 65 | 2,474,000 (27.2%) |
| 2017 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 25.8 | 3.32 | 64 | 2,410,000 (27.0%) |
| 2016 | 0 | 0 (0.0%) | -20,000 | 25.7 | 3.36 | 63 | 2,348,916 (26.9%) |
| 2015 | 8,548,651 | 185,906 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 25.5 | 3.40 | 62 | 2,289,500 (26.8%) |
| 2010 | 7,641,630 | 168,811 (2.2%) | -20,000 | 24.9 | 3.51 | 55 | 2,026,255 (26.5%) |
| 2005 | 6,854,176 | 141,335 (2.1%) | -14,649 | 24.1 | 3.50 | 49 | 1,811,764 (26.4%) |
| 2000 | 6,216,205 | 101,319 (1.6%) | -16,498 | 22.9 | 3.91 | 44 | 1,646,424 (26.5%) |
| 1995 | 5,764,712 | 84,880 (1.5%) | -58,959 | 22.7 | 4.59 | 41 | 1,664,676 (28.9%) |
| 1990 | 5,283,728 | 133,925 (2.5%) | -57,853 | 22.9 | 5.23 | 38 | 1,672,723 (31.7%) |
| 1985 | 4,537,789 | 140,264 (3.1%) | -13,607 | 23.3 | 5.57 | 32 | 1,508,134 (33.2%) |
| 1980 | 3,905,413 | 110,993 (2.8%) | -7,640 | 23.6 | 5.69 | 28 | 1,339,127 (34.3%) |
| 1975 | 3,390,935 | 94,840 (2.8%) | -3,405 | 23.5 | 6.38 | 24 | 1,205,003 (35.5%) |
| 1970 | 2,930,079 | 89,851 (3.1%) | -2,441 | 23.6 | 7.00 | 21 | 1,080,496 (36.9%) |
| 1965 | 2,487,953 | 85,498 (3.4%) | 5,177 | 24.2 | 6.96 | 18 | 874,565 (35.2%) |
| 1960 | 2,087,038 | 72,085 (3.3%) | 4,165 | 25.2 | 6.55 | 15 | 692,229 (33.2%) |
In 2019 the population of Tajikistan was 9,292,000 and the average age increased from 25.2 in 1960 to 26.2. Urban population has increased from 1,646,424 (26.5%) in 2000 to 2,607,000 (27.5%) in the current year. The population density of Tajikistan has changed from 27.9 in 1980 to 65.1 in 2018.
| Year | Population | Year change | Migrants | Median age | Fertility rate | Density (Ppl/km2) | Urban population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 9,475,000 | 183,000 (1.9%) | -20,000 | 26.3 | 3.18 | 68 | 2,607,000 (27.5%) |
| 2025 | 10,360,000 | 172,000 (1.7%) | -20,000 | 27.3 | 3.01 | 74 | 2,976,000 (28.7%) |
| 2030 | 11,194,000 | 165,000 (1.5%) | -20,000 | 28.5 | 2.85 | 80 | 3,408,000 (30.4%) |
| 2035 | 12,023,000 | 167,000 (1.4%) | -20,000 | 29.6 | 2.72 | 86 | 3,931,000 (32.7%) |
| 2040 | 12,876,000 | 172,000 (1.3%) | -20,000 | 30.6 | 2.60 | 92 | 4,552,000 (35.4%) |
| 2045 | 13,728,000 | 167,000 (1.2%) | -20,000 | 31.5 | 2.50 | 98 | 5,234,000 (38.1%) |
| 2050 | 14,521,000 | 152,000 (1.1%) | -20,000 | 32.5 | 2.40 | 104 | 5,951,000 (41.0%) |
Total Tajikistan population should reach 9,475,000 by 2020 and should increase to 14,521,000 people by year 2050. The life expectancy at birth should reach 76.4 (73.4 years for male and 79.5 years for females). Population density will go up to 103.8 people per square kilometer.
The population growth rate is 1.97% (185,000 residents, including 46,531 deaths). The demographics of Tajikistan constitutes of 4,722,000 women and 4,753,000 men, which means there are 1,007 men per 1000 women. As far as age distribution goes, 44.1% of population (4,181,318) is 19 or younger, 52.1% of population (4,932,685) is between age 20 and 64 and 3.8% of population (360,050) is over 65.